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How to Generate Faster Alpha from Web Data with LLMs

Tavis Lochhead,Co-Founder of Kadoa
9 September 2024
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Web scraping has long been valuable for generating alpha-driven datasets and insights for investment firms [0]. Virtually any online source can offer a competitive edge—e-commerce price and inventory tracking, job postings and hiring trends, news and social media monitoring, regulatory updates, or commodity reporting, to name a few. The ability to efficiently gather and analyze alternative data from online sources has become a critical factor in generating alpha, identifying market inefficiencies, and staying ahead of competitors. These alternative data sources complement traditional financial indicators, providing unique insights into market behavior and economic conditions.

Machine learning innovations, such as Natural Language Processing (NLP), Named Entity Recognition (NER), and Optical Character Recognition (OCR), have significantly expanded opportunities for extracting insights [1]. However, traditional methods of building and maintaining web data extraction infrastructure are resource-intensive and prone to errors. Developers continuously code and update scripts, data scientists refine models, and manual labor in low-cost economies is frequently employed to extract information. These processes are slow, error-prone, and expensive, often failing to scale effectively and accommodate the diverse formats of web data, such as PDFs, tables, images, and complex web structures [2,4,6].

Numerous finance data providers, such as YipitData, Dataminr, and Bloomberg, incorporate large-scale web scraping into their products, offloading much of this burden from investment firms [3]. However, these providers typically offer insights that are widely accessible, leveling the playing field rather than delivering truly proprietary insights.

Data-centric firms increasingly aim to build proprietary datasets by combining non-traditional data sources, such as real-time pricing data, inventory levels, and consumer trends from e-commerce platforms. For example, in sectors like apparel, tracking product availability and pricing changes can provide early signals of shifts in company performance or market sentiment. While much of this data is publicly available, the ability to aggregate and analyze it effectively can give firms a competitive edge [8].

This is where Large Language Models (LLMs) are poised to usher in a new era of web data extraction.

Factor
Development Approach
Traditional Web Data Extraction
Manual Coding: Developers must write custom scripts for each data source
LLM-Driven Web Data Extraction
Automated Code Generation: LLMs automatically generate extraction scripts (e.g., CSS selectors, XPath)
Factor
Maintenance
Traditional Web Data Extraction
High Maintenance: Requires constant updating and fixing when websites change
LLM-Driven Web Data Extraction
Self-Healing Pipelines: Automatically adapt to changes in websites, reducing maintenance
Factor
Efficiency & Accuracy
Traditional Web Data Extraction
Slow & Error-Prone: Labor-intensive and prone to human error
LLM-Driven Web Data Extraction
Fast & Accurate: LLMs streamline the process, reducing errors and speeding up extraction
Factor
Scalability
Traditional Web Data Extraction
Limited Scalability: Difficult to scale for thousands of data sources
LLM-Driven Web Data Extraction
Highly Scalable: Capable of automating thousands of scrapers at once
Factor
Cost
Traditional Web Data Extraction
Expensive: Relies heavily on manual labor (developers, data scientists, outsourced work)
LLM-Driven Web Data Extraction
Cost-Effective: Reduces reliance on manual labor by automating key tasks
Factor
Accessibility
Traditional Web Data Extraction
Developer-Dependent: Requires skilled developers to manage and maintain data pipelines, limiting access for non-technical teams
LLM-Driven Web Data Extraction
User-Friendly: Allows non-technical teams to manage data pipelines through no-code interfaces, reducing dependency on developers

LLMs: Automating the Manual Labor of Web Data Extraction

LLMs are proving highly effective at automating many manual tasks in creating and maintaining web datasets. By streamlining processes traditionally handled by developers or data scientists, LLMs can significantly reduce the complexity of web data extraction [1,5,9].

Here’s how LLMs are transforming each step of the process:

Extract

  • Data Discovery: Identifying relevant sources for extraction. For instance, investment firms use LLMs to scan government reports, earnings announcements, and regulatory filings to gather market-moving information.
  • Source Navigation & RPA: Adaptive web navigation powered by robotic process automation.
  • Selector Generation: Automatically generating code for data extraction (e.g., CSS selectors or XPath).
  • Multimodal Data Extraction: Parsing text, images, and tables from various sources.

Transform

  • Data Cleansing: Removing irrelevant or unwanted content to ensure cleaner datasets.
  • Data Transformation: Context-aware formatting for more usable data, such as cleaning raw economic data or transforming it into structured financial indicators.
  • Data Validation: Performing plausibility and consistency checks to ensure data quality, a crucial step for investment models that depend on accurate real-time data.
  • Data Auditing: Ensuring source-to-destination traceability, with confidence scoring for higher accuracy.

Use Cases: Real-World Applications of LLM-Driven Web Data Extraction

LLMs are revolutionizing web data extraction across multiple sectors within finance, offering firms the ability to scale data collection efforts and gain timely, actionable insights. Here are some specific use cases where we've seen LLMs accelerating the process of generating alpha:

1. Extract and Monitor Commodity Data

Investment firms often rely on alternative data sources like commodity price tracking to inform trading strategies. With LLMs, firms can automatically extract and monitor data from hundreds of commodity websites, including energy, oil, and gas, even when the data is locked within complex PDFs or behind intricate browser interactions. LLMs streamline the collection of this information, ensuring timely updates and minimizing manual labor, which enables firms to quickly act on price fluctuations or supply changes that could affect market dynamics.

2. Real-Time Monitoring of World Events

World events, both company-related and non-company events, are vital sources of market-moving information. These include earnings announcements, shareholder updates, and regulatory filings, as well as non-company events like commodity price fluctuations, geopolitical developments, and macroeconomic indicators. By deploying LLMs, firms can monitor not only hundreds of investor relations websites but also a wide range of alternative data sources in real time, allowing them to stay ahead of market shifts. This real-time access to both investor communications and external market signals enables firms to react faster to key events, potentially gaining a competitive edge before such information becomes widely available.

3. Tracking Retail Prices and Inventory

In retail sectors, pricing and inventory data from online platforms can provide key indicators of a company's performance and consumer demand trends. With LLMs, investment firms can track prices and inventory across hundreds of retail websites, enabling them to spot early signals of stock shortages, discount strategies, or changes in consumer behavior. These insights can be invaluable for predicting revenue shifts, informing stock price movement forecasts, or building retail-focused investment strategies.

4. Due Diligence on Private Companies

For private market investments, LLMs enable firms to collect data from thousands of private company websites for comprehensive due diligence. This data may include everything from company financials and product offerings to executive team information and market positioning. By automating this labor-intensive process, LLMs ensure that firms can build accurate, real-time profiles of private companies, facilitating better decision-making during mergers, acquisitions, or venture capital investments.

Benefits of Automating Web Data Extraction with LLMs

Enhancing Data Operations with Automation

By automating traditionally labor-intensive web data extraction tasks, investment firms can significantly enhance their data operations. LLM-based systems allow for faster pipeline creation, enabling firms to generate web data pipelines in minutes instead of days. The scalability of these solutions can automate the creation of thousands of scrapers, broadening data coverage and allowing for richer data extraction from both structured and unstructured sources, such as PDFs, tables, and complex web structures [6]. This richer, more diversified data feeds into trading algorithms, quantitative models, and portfolio management strategies, directly influencing alpha generation and risk-adjusted returns.

Improving Compliance and Reducing Risk

LLMs can improve compliance by monitoring website terms of service and ensuring adherence to relevant regulations. These systems can automatically adjust scraping activities to reflect updates in legal guidelines or terms of service changes, reducing the risk of non-compliance [4].

Enhancing Accuracy and Data Integrity

LLM-based systems offer increased accuracy by incorporating intelligent validation and auditing methods, ensuring data integrity—crucial for compliance reporting, risk analysis, and high-frequency trading. Data transformation and cleansing processes can be streamlined, feeding ready-to-analyze data directly into analytical workflows, thus accelerating investment decision-making.

Reducing Maintenance Burden

The ability to automate browser navigation and adapt to source code changes reduces the maintenance burden traditionally associated with web scraping, making it a viable tool for financial firms with dynamic and diverse data needs.

Empowering Analysts with No-Code Solutions

LLM-orchestrated backends present the opportunity for business teams, primarily analysts, to manage and control web data extraction independently through no-code interfaces. This automation streamlines data access and allows non-technical users to drive data initiatives, gaining faster insights without the need for deep technical knowledge [7].

The Future of LLMs in Web Data Extraction

Investment firms are increasingly building this LLM-powered infrastructure in-house or opting for third-party solutions like Kadoa that package these capabilities into a comprehensive offering. By doing so, firms can significantly improve the efficiency, accuracy, and scalability of their web data extraction processes.

Looking ahead, LLMs will continue to optimize web data extraction automation end-to-end, delivering faster, more granular alternative data to investment firms. As these models evolve, we can expect deeper integration with AI-driven investment strategies, from enhancing risk management systems to supporting autonomous trading models. Financial firms will increasingly rely on LLM-driven data pipelines to capture market-moving insights faster and with more precision, allowing for smarter, more informed investment decisions.

References

[0] https://www2.deloitte.com/…/us-fsi-dcfs-alternative-data-for-investment-decisions.pdf
[1] https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.11903
[2] https://substack.thewebscraping.club/p/the-true-costs-of-a-web-scraping
[3] https://hackernoon.com/utilizing-web-scraping-and-alternative-data-in-financial-markets
[4] https://arxiv.org/abs/2406.08246
[5] https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.18760
[6] https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4567607
[7] https://jsaer.com/download/vol-10-iss-4-2023/JSAER2023-10-4-127-132.pdf
[8] https://thedatascore.substack.com/p/data-deep-dive-web-mining-shows-inflections
[9] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=41428274